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Will driverless trucks replace drivers? Not anytime soon

Line of white semi‑truck tractors parked in a logistics yard under a clear blue sky

Driverless vehicles may sound like something out of a science fiction film, but the truth is the technology is already here.

But what about trucks specifically? At the moment, there’s nothing to suggest that driverless trucks will completely replace drivers. The technology is still developing and being tested, and it will be quite a while before the entire workforce can be replaced with autonomous trucks – if they can be at all.

The technology of driverless trucks

Driverless trucks rely heavily on sensors such as cameras, radar, Lidar, ultrasonic, and GPS. Because different types of sensors work best for different functions, most driverless trucks will have multiple sensors built in.

They’re also able to map their location using high-resolution mapping technology. Combining this with the data from the sensors means that driverless trucks can build and update an accurate, localised map of their surroundings.

Autonomous trucks also use AI in their technology – it lets the truck learn from past experiences and from its environment and improve its operation. Currently, humans are thought to be better at doing this, although self-driving AI systems are expected to develop exponentially in the next decade.

The benefits of driverless trucks

So why use driverless trucks at all? Here are a few reasons why:

list-tick.svgEconomic benefits: The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) believe that driverless vehicles (including trucks, cars, buses, taxis and vans) could generate around £66 billion and create an estimated additional 342,000 jobs by 2040.

list-tick.svg  Safety: The SMMT also believes that the technology could save around 3,900 lives and avoid 60,000 serious collisions over the next 15 years1.

list-tick.svg  Speed: A driverless truck doesn’t need to take breaks like a human. They’ll be able to operate 24 hours a day and drive a consistent mileage rate2.

list-tick.svg Driver shortage: There’s currently a shortage of HGV drivers in the industry, so driverless trucks will help to narrow the shortfall3.

What does the future look like for driverless trucks?

It’s easy to imagine a future where the roads are completely vacant of drivers, with only passengers being driven by AI systems, but that’s not quite what experts think will happen.

For the foreseeable future, ‘driverless’ vehicles will likely have human supervisors who act as a kind of copilot, on hand in case of mechanical problems or even speak to police in the event of a road incident.

Humans will still be needed for complex tasks like city navigation, loading and unloading, cargo inspections, and facing unpredictable weather.

It may also depend on the country – in the United States where there are long stretches of highway between towns, having a driverless vehicle function makes sense. But in the UK, with more winding country roads, it may be a little more difficult for the AI system to navigate.

However, the UK is inching towards autonomous driving, with self-driving taxis set to hit the roads before the end of 2026. The introduction of the Automated Vehicles (AV) Act in 2024 laid the groundwork for companies to start testing self-driving vehicles such as buses and taxis. There are six levels of automation according to the Act:

So why use driverless trucks at all? Here are a few reasons why:

list-tick.svgLevel 0: No automation

list-tick.svg Level 1: Driver assistance

list-tick.svg Level 2: Partial automation

list-tick.svg Level 3: Conditional automation

list-tick.svg Level 4: High automation

list-tick.svg Level 5: Full automation

The first three levels are assisted driving (human in control), while the last three levels are automated driving (system in control). Level 3 systems are currently emerging in the UK, while level 4 and 5 systems aren’t yet legal on public roads4.

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At Everywhen, we understand that no two fleets are the same, which is why we take a tailored approach to your cover, making sure it reflects how your business runs day to day.

If you’d like to review your current policy or explore your options, just give us a call on 0344 892 1434 and we’ll help you find the right protection for your fleet.

The information contained in this article is for general information purposes only. It does not constitute legal or other professional advice and cannot be relied upon as such. Should you have any queries, we recommend that you consult the appropriate professional adviser. The links provided in this document are for reference only. Please note that we are not responsible for the content of any linked site.

Sources:

  1. https://www.transportengineer.org.uk/content/features/road-to-a-driverless-future

  2. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56332388

  3. https://www.multimodal.org.uk/article/uk-hgv-driver-shortage-where-are-we-now

  4. https://www.transportengineer.org.uk/content/features/road-to-a-driverless-future

chris-north

Chris North FCII

Commercial Vehicle Insurance Technical Manager

Chris is a respected industry leader with over 40 years' experience, who has worked in the insurance industry in a variety of roles, accumulating a wealth of knowledge. He is a longstanding Fellow of the Chartered Insurance Institute (FCII).

Chris is a respected industry leader with over 40 years' experience, who has worked in the insurance industry in a variety of roles, accumulating a wealth of knowledge. He is a longstanding Fellow of the Chartered Insurance Institute (FCII). He is currently Technical Manager for Everywhen's motor division, providing expertise on all matters relating to motor fleet insurance, in particular haulage and self-drive hire fleets.

Chris is responsible for providing this specialist team with technical advice, not only about the usual motor, liability, property and goods in transit covers, but also increasingly crucial covers such as directors’ and officers’ liability insurance and cyber threat insurance. His role also includes bringing forwards new initiatives for transport-related businesses, in particular those of a risk management nature given the importance Everywhen places on the maxim that ‘prevention is better than cure’.

Everywhen combines regional care with national reach, deep sector knowledge and strong insurer relationships to deliver tailored solutions across 55+ schemes. We help our clients navigate everyday and emerging risks with confidence, always and at all times.